0380的IC,0620的IC是指什么,有些什么品牌,什么型号的。

0380的IC,0620的IC是指什么,有些什么品牌,什么型号的。,第1张

集成电路ICIC,即集成电路是采用半导体制作工艺,在一块较小的单晶硅片上制作上许多晶体管及电阻器、电容器等元器件,并按照多层布线或遂道布线的方法将元器件组合成完整的电子电路。它在电路中用字母“IC”(也有用文字符号“N”等)表示。

IC:Integrated Circuit, 集成电路, 另一意思:interchange 高速公路转换出入口

国外知名品牌IC代理分销线

Analog Devices ADI代理

AOS万代半导体

ANPEC茂达MOS管代理

ATMEL 爱特梅尔

Cypress 赛普拉斯

Fairchild 飞兆(仙童)半导体

IR 国际整流器

MAXIM-DALLS 美信-达拉斯

NS 美国国家半导体

NXP 恩智浦半导体

ON 安森美半导体

美国OV专业

优势MOS管,IC代理产品

AMS/电源管理IC芯片

Intersil英特矽尔/电池管理的IC

TI 德州仪器/数据转换器

EXAR/Sipex IC代理

Freescale/照明IC,LED驱动器

XILINX 赛灵思/FPGA 器件

SyncMOS新茂/8位微控制器

Innolux 群创光电AV 液晶屏

Avago 安华高,安捷伦/蓝牙IC

Micron美光/IC存储器

Spansion 存储器

ST 意法半导体

经营各品牌集成电路,欢迎查询!

74LVQ573 FAIRCHILD

10M20 FQPF

18LV8S

24C04CM6TR ST

24C164SC AT

24W16M6TR ST

24W16M6TR ST

25LV020E PMC

25LV040-33E PMC

25LV040E PMC

25LV512-3.3 NEC

3793-1N

74ABT125DR TI

74ABT162244DGGR TI

74ABT16646DLR TI

74ABT16823DLR TI

74ABT16825DLR TI

74ABT16952DLR TI

74ABT823DBR TI

74ALVC1G02DY IDT

74ALVCHR16245GR TI

74CBT16233DLR TI

74FCT162244ATPV IDT

74FCT162245TPV IDT

74FCT162245TPV IDT

74FCT162501CTPV IDT

74FCT162646ATPA IDT

74FCT162646ATPAC IDT

74FCT162823ATPV IDT

74FCT163244APV IDT

74FCT163244AVX IDT

74FCT16374ATPA IDT

74FCT163827CPV IDT

74FCT240ATQ IDT

74FCT257ATQ IDT

74FCT273ATQ IDT

74FCT273ATSQ IDT

74FCT821CTQ IDT

74HC163A HARRIS

74HC4060AFEL MC

74LCX574FT TOS

74LCX74FT TC

74LCX74MTCX FAIRCHILD

74LPT16827CVX PHILIP

1 天然橡胶(NR) 综合性能比较全面,加工工艺简单,缺点是耐油、耐热、耐寒、耐化学、耐老化等性能太差,远不及其他合成橡胶。主要用于轮胎、胶管、胶带、医疗用品、体育用品及一些其他工业用品。

2 丁苯橡胶(SBR)综合性能与天然橡胶相当,而磨耗及热老化性能则优于天然橡胶,与天然橡胶和多种合成橡胶并用,加工性能好,是一种通用橡胶。主要使用语胶管,轮胎,胶带。胶鞋,以及各种工业橡胶制品。

3 顺丁橡胶(BR)加工性能好,具有优异的耐磨性和d性,生热少,耐低温性能好。耐屈挠也不错,缺点是撕裂强度和抗滑性不好。广泛用于轮胎,胶管,胶带,胶鞋以及其他橡胶制品方面。

4氯丁橡胶(CR)耐臭氧,耐气候老化,耐油,耐溶剂,阻燃,绝缘以及耐水性,气密性,拉伸强度等方面的性能均较好。缺点是耐寒性差,比重(密度)大。适用于胶管、胶带、输送带、电线电缆、空调橡胶制品,以及建筑、船舶、汽车等密封制品。

5 丁腈橡胶 (NBR)可长期在120度以下温度使用,气密性较好(仅次于丁基橡胶)耐油,耐 磨,抗撕裂等性能功能极佳(注意:此材料属于半导体橡胶,因此不适宜做绝缘性产品)适用于汽车,机械方面胶管,密封件,电缆护套,海绵制品等。

6 氢化丁腈橡胶(HNBR)可长期在-40-180度工作环境中使用,加工性能好,强度高,耐磨性优,永久变形小,同时具有独特的抗臭氧和耐硫化氢的作用。适用于发动机密封制品,油封,油田,钻杆用橡胶制品,低温油管,空调管,电子系统保护零件。

7 三元乙丙橡胶(EPDM)耐热耐臭氧乃天侯老化,耐低温,耐电绝缘,耐酸,耐碱等各方面性能极佳。广泛用于建筑,汽车,轮船门窗密封,电线电缆,汽车,摩托车零部件和其他工业制品。

8 硅橡胶(SR)可长期在-60-120度工作环境中使用,透明无毒无味绝缘性能佳,加工性能好。缺点是耐磨性能,撕裂性能和耐油,耐化学介质差。广泛用于电热电器,电子电气行业,航空,国防,机械,建筑工业,医疗,食品卫生领域,以及厨房用品,家庭日用杂制品等。

9 氟橡胶(FPM)优异的耐高温(250度)和很好的介电性能,以及优异的耐氧化,耐油,耐化学腐蚀,耐磨损等优异性能。缺点是加工工艺比较困难。广泛应用于航天航空导d火箭等科学领域以及工业设备各方面,如胶管,密封件,电线,隔膜,胶带等制品以及防腐衬里。

10 丁基橡胶(IIR)气密性能在各种橡胶中最好,优异的耐热老化性能,耐臭氧老化性能,以及电绝缘性能,同事有较宽的温度使用区间。广泛用于轮胎的内胎,硫化用的胶囊,水胎,风胎,汽车零部件,电线电缆,胶管,胶带,建筑防水片材,堵塞材料(如药瓶盖)门窗密封条,以及化工设备防腐等。

11 聚硫橡胶(TR) 具有良好的耐油性,耐烃类溶剂,耐大气老化,耐水,以及低温屈挠性能好。同时对各种材料有非常好的粘接性,用作汽车密封材料,不干性橡胶腻子和化工设备衬里,马路漆和耐油性油漆,涂料,耐油性胶管中空玻璃密封等。

12 聚丙烯酸酯橡胶(ACM和ANM)使用温度可达175-200度,气密性,耐气候老化,耐热性,耐油性能都很好。缺点是耐水性,耐低温性能差。加工性能难掌握,硫化工艺对模具有腐蚀性。主要用于汽车工业的密封件和特殊要求的胶管,胶布,同事还应用于制造与高温油接触的电线电缆手套,胶粘剂等。

13 乙烯醋酸乙酯橡胶(EVW)可长期在175度高温下使用,优异的阻燃性能和耐油性能,产品在高温状态下压缩变形小。适用于地铁,高层建筑,以及船用高性能无卤阻燃电线电缆和其他密封制品。

14 氯化聚乙烯(CPE)是一种耐热,耐候,耐燃的特种合成橡胶,极好的电性能和耐化学品行性能,此外还具有耐油,耐臭氧,耐候,耐热老化,耐燃等优点,广泛用于耐燃耐候性好的电线电缆,密封制品以及要求耐温,耐酸,耐燃的胶管,胶带和胶辊等工业制品。

15 热塑性丁苯橡胶(SBS)是目前产量最大(占7%)最经济的热塑性d性体品种,其性能与丁苯橡胶相似具有更加的d性,手感,色彩丰富,格式和做低硬度产品。缺点是耐热,耐油性较差。广泛用于手柄,玩具,运动器材,鞋材等领域。

16 热塑性d性体(SEBS)是加氢制得的饱和型SBS,耐老化,耐臭氧,在原性能上大幅度提高特别适用于户外使用的产品。缺点是耐热性能,耐油性能差。使用温度范围在-60-100度之间。广泛用于手柄,玩具,运动器材,医疗配件等领域。

17 热塑性d性体(TPV)是动态硫化的EPDM/PP共混物。耐寒耐热,优良的d性,耐老化,耐臭氧,撕裂强度,耐化学药品,着色性能优异,可长期在-60-135之间温度使用。广泛用于汽车,船舶,机械配件,胶管胶带及各类工业制品,常用于挤出各类密封条。

18 热塑性聚氨酯橡胶(TPU)突出的耐磨性,高d性,高机械强度,耐油性极佳,耐屈挠极好,长期使用温度可在-40-120度之间。缺点是低硬度的品种极少。广泛用于汽车业的刹车管,油管,内饰件,电缆,管材,鞋材及运动器械,异性材料等。

19 聚氯乙烯(PVC)是目前用途最广泛的塑料品种之一,经济且具有优良的阻燃性,耐化学药品,耐磨强度较高,电绝缘性好。缺点是耐寒性差,冬天变硬变脆,其氯具有刺激性。广泛用于各行各业,汽车,建筑,机械,日用品电缆线等。门窗密封等领域大量使用。

编译 | 未玖

Nature , 14 April 2022, VOL 604, ISSUE 7905

《自然》 2022年4月14日,第604卷,7905期

天文学 Astronomy

A dusty compact object bridging galaxies and quasars at cosmic dawn

在宇宙黎明时分,星系由尘埃致密体过渡到类星体

作者:S. Fujimoto, G. B. Brammer, D. Watson, G. E. Magdis, V. Kokorev, T. R. Greve, et al.

链接:

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-04454-1

摘要:

自从发现发光类星体在宇宙大爆炸后仅存在7亿年以来,了解超大质量黑洞在早期宇宙中如何形成和生长已成为一个重大难题。

理论模拟显示了一种进化序列,尘埃红移的类星体从严重尘埃遮蔽的星暴星系中出现,然后通过释放气体和尘埃过渡到无遮蔽的发光类星体。尽管最后一个阶段的红移已被确定为7.6,但由于它们在光学和近红外波长上的微弱性,目前尚未发现具有类似红移的过渡类星体。

研究组报道了一个紫外致密天体GNz7q的观测结果,它与一个红移为7.1899   0.0005、尘埃掩蔽的星暴有关。

在该时期,宿主星系的尘埃辐射比任何其他已知物体都要明亮,在480秒差距的中心半径范围内,每年形成1600个太阳质量的恒星。在深部、高分辨率成像和无狭缝光谱中,可识别出一个远紫外的红点源。

GNz7q在X射线中非常微弱,这表明在尘埃星暴核心出现了一个独特的紫外致密恒星形成区或一个康普顿厚、超过爱丁顿极限的黑洞吸积盘。在后一种情况下,观测到的性质与宇宙学模拟的预测一致,并表明GNz7q是晚期无遮蔽发光类星体的祖先。

Abstract:

Understanding how super-massive black holes form and grow in the early Universe has become a major challenge since it was discovered that luminous quasars existed only 700 million years after the Big Bang. Simulations indicate an evolutionary sequence of dust-reddened quasars emerging from heavily dust-obscured starbursts that then transition to unobscured luminous quasars by expelling gas and dust. Although the last phase has been identified out to a redshift of 7.6, a transitioning quasar has not been found at similar redshifts owing to their faintness at optical and near-infrared wavelengths. Here we report observations of an ultraviolet compact object, GNz7q, associated with a dust-enshrouded starburst at a redshift of 7.1899   0.0005. The host galaxy is more luminous in dust emission than any other known object at this epoch, forming 1,600 solar masses of stars per year within a central radius of 480 parsec. A red point source in the far-ultraviolet is identified in deep, high-resolution imaging and slitless spectroscopy. GNz7q is extremely faint in X-rays, which indicates the emergence of a uniquely ultraviolet compact star-forming region or a Compton-thick super-Eddington black-hole accretion disk at the dusty starburst core. In the latter case, the observed properties are consistent with predictions from cosmological simulations and suggest that GNz7q is an antecedent to unobscured luminous quasars at later epochs.

物理学 Physics

Intelligent infrared sensing enabled by tunable moiré quantum geometry

可调谐莫尔量子几何实现智能红外传感

作者:Chao Ma, Shaofan Yuan, Patrick Cheung, Kenji Watanabe, Takashi Taniguchi, Fan Zhang, et al.

链接:

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-04548-w

摘要:

众所周知,固体中布洛赫波函数的量子几何性质,即贝里曲率和量子度量,显著影响着电子的基态和激发态行为。

体光伏效应(BPVE)是一种依赖于激发光偏振的非线性现象,在很大程度上取决于光学跃迁中的量子几何特性。红外BPVE尚未在石墨烯或莫尔体系等新兴平台中观察到,尽管这些平台已报道过与量子几何有关的激发强关联现象。

研究组报道了在扭曲双双层石墨烯(TDBG)中观察到5 µm和7.7 µm处可调谐中红外BPVE,由莫尔诱导的强对称性破缺和量子几何贡献产生。光响应在很大程度上取决于激发光的偏振态,且可通过外部电场进行高度调谐。

这种量子几何特性的广泛可调性使研究组能够使用卷积神经网络同时实现全斯托克斯偏振测量和波长检测,仅使用一个亚波长足迹仅为3  3  µm2的TDBG器件 。

该研究工作不仅揭示了莫尔工程量子几何在可调谐非线性光-物质相互作用中的独特作用,还以极其紧凑的芯片方式为未来智能传感技术开辟了新途径。

Abstract:

Quantum geometric properties of Bloch wave functions in solids, that is, Berry curvature and the quantum metric, are known to significantly influence the ground- and excited-state behaviour of electrons. The bulk photovoltaic effect (BPVE), a nonlinear phenomenon depending on the polarization of excitation light, is largely governed by the quantum geometric properties in optical transitions. Infrared BPVE has yet to be observed in graphene or moiré systems, although exciting strongly correlated phenomena related to quantum geometry have been reported in this emergent platform. Here we report the observation of tunable mid-infrared BPVE at 5 µm and 7.7 µm in twisted double bilayer graphene (TDBG), arising from the moiré-induced strong symmetry breaking and quantum geometric contribution. The photoresponse depends substantially on the polarization state of the excitation light and is highly tunable by external electric fields. This wide tunability in quantum geometric properties enables us to use a convolutional neural network to achieve full-Stokes polarimetry together with wavelength detection simultaneously, using only one single TDBG device with a subwavelength footprint of merely 3   3 µm2. Our work not only reveals the unique role of moiré engineered quantum geometry in tunable nonlinear light–matter interactions but also identifies a pathway for future intelligent sensing technologies in an extremely compact, on-chip manner.

材料科学 Materials Science

Uniting tensile ductility with ultrahigh strength via composition undulation

通过成分起伏同时实现拉伸塑性与超高强度

作者:Heng Li, Hongxiang Zong, Suzhi Li, Shenbao Jin, Yan Chen, Matthew J. Cabral, et al.

链接:

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-04459-w

摘要:

具有纳米晶粒的金属有接近2 GPa的超高强度。然而,这种极端的晶界强化导致几乎所有拉伸塑性的丧失,即使当金属具有面心立方结构(所有晶体结构中塑性最强的结构)时亦如此。

研究组证明了纳米晶镍-钴固溶体虽仍是面心立方单相,但其拉伸强度约为2.3  GPa,塑性断裂伸长率约为16 %。

这种不寻常的拉伸强度和塑性的结合是通过高浓度固溶体中的成分起伏实现的。这种起伏使得层错能和晶格应变在1-10纳米的尺度范围内发生空间变化,从而显著影响了位错运动。

尽管纳米晶粒内部空间非常有限,但位错运动变得缓慢,促进了它们的交互作用、联锁和增殖。因此,流动应力增加,同时位错储存增加,从而提升了应变硬化能力,提高了塑性。

同时,沿位错线的分段脱捕需要较小的激活体积,因此应变速率敏感性增加,这也稳定了拉伸流动。因此,抗位错传播的起伏结构提供了一种强化机制,可在高流动应力下保持拉伸塑性。

Abstract:

Metals with nanocrystalline grains have ultrahigh strengths approaching two gigapascals. However, such extreme grain-boundary strengthening results in the loss of almost all tensile ductility, even when the metal has a face-centred-cubic structure—the most ductile of all crystal structures. Here we demonstrate that nanocrystalline nickel–cobalt solid solutions, although still a face-centred-cubic single phase, show tensile strengths of about 2.3 gigapascals with a respectable ductility of about 16 per cent elongation to failure. This unusual combination of tensile strength and ductility is achieved by compositional undulation in a highly concentrated solid solution. The undulation renders the stacking fault energy and the lattice strains spatially varying over length scales in the range of one to ten nanometres, such that the motion of dislocations is thus significantly affected. The motion of dislocations becomes sluggish, promoting their interaction, interlocking and accumulation, despite the severely limited space inside the nanocrystalline grains. As a result, the flow stress is increased, and the dislocation storage is promoted at the same time, which increases the strain hardening and hence the ductility. Meanwhile, the segment detrapping along the dislocation line entails a small activation volume and hence an increased strain-rate sensitivity, which also stabilizes the tensile flow. As such, an undulating landscape resisting dislocation propagation provides a strengthening mechanism that preserves tensile ductility at high flow stresses.

Perovskite–organic tandem solar cells with indium oxide interconnect

钙钛矿-氧化铟互连有机串联太阳能电池

作者:K. O. Brinkmann, T. Becker, F. Zimmermann, C. Kreusel, T. Gahlmann, M. Theisen, et al.

链接:

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-04455-0

摘要:

多结太阳能电池可以克服单结器件的基本效率限制。金属卤化物钙钛矿型太阳能电池的带隙可调性使其在多结结构中具有吸引力。硅和铜铟硒化镓(CIGS)以及全钙钛矿串联电池的组合已有报道。与此同时,窄间隙非富勒烯受体为有机太阳能电池带来了快速提升的效率。

有机和钙钛矿半导体是一种很有吸引力的组合,具有相似的加工技术。目前,钙钛矿-有机串联电池的效率低于标准,并且受到宽间隙钙钛矿电池的低开路电压(Voc)和子电池之间互连引入损耗的限制。

研究组展示了钙钛矿-有机串联电池的效率为24.0%(认证为23.1%),Voc高达2.15 伏特。优化的电荷提取层使钙钛矿子电池具有高Voc和填充因子的出色组合。

该串联电池的有机子电池在近红外下提供了高外部量子效率,与对非富勒烯电池有限光稳定性的典型担忧相反,如果激子主要在非富勒烯受体上产生,则表现出出色的 *** 作稳定性。子电池由一层超薄(约1.5纳米)类金属氧化铟层连接,具有前所未有的低光/电损耗。

这项工作为钙钛矿-有机串联电池竖了一座里程碑,它优于最好的p–i–n钙钛矿单结,并与钙钛矿-CIGS和所有钙钛矿多结相媲美。

Abstract:

Multijunction solar cells can overcome the fundamental efficiency limits of single-junction devices. The bandgap tunability of metal halide perovskite solar cells renders them attractive for multijunction architectures. Combinations with silicon and copper indium gallium selenide (CIGS), as well as all-perovskite tandem cells, have been reported. Meanwhile, narrow-gap non-fullerene acceptors have unlocked skyrocketing efficiencies for organic solar cells. Organic and perovskite semiconductors are an attractive combination, sharing similar processing technologies. Currently, perovskite–organic tandems show subpar efficiencies and are limited by the low open-circuit voltage (Voc) of wide-gap perovskite cells and losses introduced by the interconnect between the subcells. Here we demonstrate perovskite–organic tandem cells with an efficiency of 24.0 per cent (certified 23.1 per cent) and a high Voc of 2.15 volts. Optimized charge extraction layers afford perovskite subcells with an outstanding combination of high Voc and fill factor. The organic subcells provide a high external quantum efficiency in the near-infrared and, in contrast to paradigmatic concerns about limited photostability of non-fullerene cells, show an outstanding operational stability if excitons are predominantly generated on the non-fullerene acceptor, which is the case in our tandems. The subcells are connected by an ultrathin (approximately 1.5 nanometres) metal-like indium oxide layer with unprecedented low optical/electrical losses. This work sets a milestone for perovskite–organic tandems, which outperform the best p–i–n perovskite single junctions and are on a par with perovskite–CIGS and all-perovskite multijunctions.

机械工程 Mechanical Engineering

Thermophotovoltaic efficiency of 40%

科学家实现40%的热光伏效率

作者:Alina LaPotin, Kevin L. Schulte, Myles A. Steiner, Kyle Buznitsky, Colin C. Kelsall, Daniel J. Friedman, et al.

链接:

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-04473-y

摘要:

热光伏(TPV)主要通过光伏效应将红外波长的光转换为电能,可使用比目前普遍存在于电力生产中的涡轮机更高温度的热源进行能量存储和转换。

自从在2000 下使用集成背表面反射器和钨发射极首次展示29%的高效TPV以来,TPV的制造和性能得到了改善。然而,尽管预测TPV的效率可能超过50%,但在温度低于1300 下,实际效率仍仅为32%。

研究组报道了效率超过40%的TPV电池的制造和测量,并通过实验证明了高带隙串联TPV电池的效率。TPV电池是由带隙在1.0-1.4 eV的III–V材料组成的双结器件,针对1900-2400 的发射极温度进行了优化。

电池利用带边光谱滤波的概念来获得高效率,使用高反射背表面反射器来拒绝不可用的子带隙辐射返回发射极。在功率密度为2.39 W cm –2 ,发射极温度为2400 的条件下,1.4/1.2 eV器件的最大效率为(41.1   1)%。在功率密度为1.8 W cm–2,发射极温度为2127 的条件下,1.2/1.0 eV器件的最大效率为(39.3   1)%。

这些电池可以集成到一个TPV系统中,用于热能电网存储,以实现可调度的可再生能源。这为热能电网存储创造了一条途径,以达到足够高的效率和足够低的成本,从而实现电网脱碳。

Abstract:

Thermophotovoltaics (TPVs) convert predominantly infrared wavelength light to electricity via the photovoltaic effect, and can enable approaches to energy storage and conversion that use higher temperature heat sources than the turbines that are ubiquitous in electricity production today. Since the first demonstration of 29% efficient TPVs using an integrated back surface reflector and a tungsten emitter at 2,000  C, TPV fabrication and performance have improved. However, despite predictions that TPV efficiencies can exceed 50%, the demonstrated efficiencies are still only as high as 32%, albeit at much lower temperatures below 1,300  C. Here we report the fabrication and measurement of TPV cells with efficiencies of more than 40% and experimentally demonstrate the efficiency of high-bandgap tandem TPV cells. The TPV cells are two-junction devices comprising III–V materials with bandgaps between 1.0 and 1.4 eV that are optimized for emitter temperatures of 1,900–2,400  C. The cells exploit the concept of band-edge spectral filtering to obtain high efficiency, using highly reflective back surface reflectors to reject unusable sub-bandgap radiation back to the emitter. A 1.4/1.2 eV device reached a maximum efficiency of (41.1   1)% operating at a power density of 2.39 W cm–2 and an emitter temperature of 2,400  C. A 1.2/1.0 eV device reached a maximum efficiency of (39.3   1)% operating at a power density of 1.8 W cm –2 and an emitter temperature of 2,127  C. These cells can be integrated into a TPV system for thermal energy grid storage to enable dispatchable renewable energy. This creates a pathway for thermal energy grid storage to reach sufficiently high efficiency and sufficiently low cost to enable decarbonization of the electricity grid.

地球科学 Earth Science

Realization of Paris Agreement pledges may limit warming just below 2 

实现《巴黎协定》的承诺有望将全球变暖控制在2 以下

作者:Malte Meinshausen, Jared Lewis, Christophe McGlade, Johannes Gütschow, Zebedee Nicholls, Rebecca Burdon, et al.

链接:

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-04553-z

摘要:

在《格拉斯哥气候公约》签署前的过去五年中,154个缔约方在其国家自主贡献中提交了新的或更新的2030年减缓目标,76个缔约方提出了长期承诺。对2021联合国气候变化大会(COP26)之前承诺的量化表明,将升温控制在2 以下的可能性低于50 %。

研究组证明,如果所有有条件和无条件的承诺都得到充分和及时的执行,全球变暖可以控制在2  以下。根据政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)第六次评估报告中第一工作组对地球系统不确定性进行的概率表征,在全面执行的情况下,峰值升温可被限制在1.9-2.0  之间。

研究组回顾性地预测了21世纪的气候变暖,以显示2015-2021年雄心勃勃的总体目标水平如何变化。研究结果依赖于对2030年或2050年之后的限时目标外推、IPCC 1.5 特别报告(SR1.5)情景数据库的特征和承诺的全面实施情况。

对这些因素更悲观的假设将导致更高的升温预测。另一个独立的排放模型框架预测,全球升温峰值为1.8 ,这支持了该研究发现,即各国兑现承诺可能会将全球变暖限制在略低于2 的范围内。

若不仅要将升温控制在“略低于”,还要控制在“远低于”2  或1.5 ,则迫切需要制定政策和采取行动,以在本世纪中叶实现全球C O2 净零排放。

Abstract:

Over the last five years prior to the Glasgow Climate Pact, 154 Parties have submitted new or updated 2030 mitigation goals in their nationally determined contributions and 76 have put forward longer-term pledges. Quantifications of the pledges before the 2021 United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP26) suggested a less than 50 per cent chance of keeping warming below 2 degrees Celsius. Here we show that warming can be kept just below 2 degrees Celsius if all conditional and unconditional pledges are implemented in full and on time. Peak warming could be limited to 1.9–2.0 degrees Celsius in the full implementation case—building on a probabilistic characterization of Earth system uncertainties in line with the Working Group I contribution to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). We retrospectively project twenty-first-century warming to show how the aggregate level of ambition changed from 2015 to 2021. Our results rely on the extrapolation of time-limited targets beyond 2030 or 2050, characteristics of the IPCC 1.5  C Special Report (SR1.5) scenario database and the full implementation of pledges. More pessimistic assumptions on these factors would lead to higher temperature projections. A second, independent emissions modelling framework projected peak warming of 1.8 degrees Celsius, supporting the finding that realized pledges could limit warming to just below 2 degrees Celsius. Limiting warming not only to ‘just below’ but to ‘well below’ 2 degrees Celsius or 1.5 degrees Celsius urgently requires policies and actions to bring about steep emission reductions this decade, aligned with mid-century global net-zero C O2 emissions


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